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Abstract This study investigates impacts of the May 2024 superstorm on the mid‐latitude Global Positioning System (GPS) scintillation and position errors. Using 1‐Hz GPS receiver data, we identified position errors in PPP mode reaching up to 70 m in the Central United States during the storm main phase on May 10. The PPK solution becomes unstable following the arrival of storm and lasted till the recovery phase, coinciding with reported GPS outages of farming equipment. The large position errors were attributed to strong scintillation and carrier phase cycle slips around the equatorward boundary of the ionosphere trough, where large total electron content (TEC) gradients and irregularities were present. In the Southwestern United States, position errors of 10–20 m were associated with the storm‐enhanced density and equatorial ionization anomaly. Scintillation and cycle slips in this region were minor, and bending of the GPS signal paths (refractive effect) is suggested to cause the position errors. PPP outages were also associated with sudden changes in the geometric distributions of available GPS satellites used in position calculations. On May 11, energetic particle precipitation during substorms led to abrupt jumps in TEC and scintillation, resulting in rapidly evolving position errors of up to 10 m. These findings highlight the critical role of storm‐time plasma transport, precipitation, and irregularity formation in degrading GPS performance. The study underscores the need for accurate ionospheric state specification, improved signal processing technique, real‐time ionospheric corrections, and optimized satellite selection algorithms, to enhance navigation resilience during severe space weather events.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available June 1, 2026
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Abstract The quiet time ionospheric plasma bubbles that occur almost every day become a significant threat for radio frequency (RF) signal degradation that affects communication and navigation systems. We have analyzed multi‐instrument observations to determine the driving mechanism for quiet time bubbles and to answer the longstanding problem, what controls the longitudinal and seasonal dependence of ionospheric irregularity occurrence rate? While VHF scintillation and GNSS ROTI are used to characterize irregularity occurrence, the vertical drifts from JRO and IVM onboard C/NOFS, as well as gravity waves (GWs) amplitudes, extracted SABER temperature profiles, are utilized to identify the potential driving mechanism for the generation of small‐scale plasma density irregularities. We demonstrated that the postsunset vertical drift enhancement may not always be a requirement for the generation of equatorial plasma bubbles. The tropospheric GWs with a vertical wavelength (4 km < λv < 30 km) can also penetrate to higher altitudes and provide enough seeding to the bottom side ionosphere and elicit density irregularity. This paper, using a one‐to‐one comparison between GWs amplitudes and irregularity occurrence distributions, also demonstrated that the GWs seeding plays a critical role in modulating the longitudinal dependence of equatorial density irregularities. Thus, it is becoming increasingly clear that understanding the forcing from a lower thermosphere is critically essential for the modeling community to predict and forecast the day‐to‐day and longitudinal variabilities of ionospheric irregularities and scintillations.more » « less
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Abstract The high latitude ionospheric evolution of the May 10‐11, 2024, geomagnetic storm is investigated in terms of Total Electron Content and contextualized with Incoherent Scatter Radar and ionosonde observations. Substantial plasma lifting is observed within the initial Storm Enhanced Density plume with ionospheric peak heights increasing by 150–300 km, reaching levels of up to 630 km. Scintillation is observed within the cusp during the initial expansion phase of the storm, spreading across the auroral oval thereafter. Patch transport into the polar cap produces broad regions of scintillation that are rapidly cleared from the region after a strong Interplanetary Magnetic Field reversal at 2230UT. Strong heating and composition changes result in the complete absence of the F2‐layer on the eleventh, suffocating high latitude convection from dense plasma necessary for Tongue of Ionization and patch formation, ultimately resulting in a suppression of polar cap scintillation on the eleventh.more » « less
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